Lemona vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
IZA
0 - 1
LEM
48%
29%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
CUL
2 - 2
LEM
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
LEM
2 - 0
OSA
41%
30%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
LEM
0 - 0
ELG
55%
27%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
BAR
2 - 1
LEM
67%
22%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
BUR
0 - 1
CUL
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
BUR
0 - 0
ELG
65%
23%
12%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
RUN
1 - 0
BUR
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
BUR
0 - 0
ZAM
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
ATH
1 - 0
BUR
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |