Lemense vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
LEM
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 0
LEM
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
3 - 2
NOV
7%
13%
80%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 2
LEM
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
3 - 1
VEL
12%
18%
70%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
VEL
35%
26%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 0
POR
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
POR
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |