Lemense vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
LEM
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 0
BEB
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
1 - 2
LEM
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 1
LEM
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 0
BEB
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
OSV
64%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 3
PEN
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |