Lemense vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 0
LEM
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
1 - 4
GRE
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEM
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
1 - 3
DES
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
USA
1 - 4
LEM
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
ITA
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 4
UNI
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VOT
2 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
16%
23%
61%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
ITA
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |