Lemense vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
3 - 1
LEM
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 2
CAT
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
LEM
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 2
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BEB
2 - 1
LEM
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEB
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 1
CAT
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OSV
2 - 2
FRA
36%
25%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |