Lemense vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
2 - 3
ITA
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 0
LEM
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
1 - 4
GRE
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEM
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
1 - 3
DES
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DES
0 - 3
BER
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
USA
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 2
BER
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
CAT
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |