Lemense vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
USA
1 - 4
LEM
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
1 - 0
BAN
26%
23%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
LEM
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LEM
2 - 2
CAB
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
LEM
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
DES
2 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DES
1 - 0
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
DES
29%
25%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DES
1 - 1
ITA
61%
22%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
DES
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |