Leixões vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TON
4 - 2
LEX
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 3
POR
31%
27%
43%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 2
EST
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
LEX
10%
18%
73%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
LEX
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 1
VST
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VST
2 - 1
IMO
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
VST
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VST
1 - 2
MON
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |