Leixões vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LEX
1 - 2
POR
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
COV
1 - 0
LEX
42%
29%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LEX
0 - 0
FAM
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
LEX
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
LEX
3 - 2
FAF
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ACV
2 - 2
VAR
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
BEN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GFC
1 - 0
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
MOR
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |