Taça de Portugal 1/32
Global 5-3
Leixões vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 2
LEX
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
SCP
4 - 1
LEX
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
ACA
1 - 2
LEX
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FEL
2 - 1
LEX
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1992 |
LEX
0 - 2
FCP
15%
24%
61%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 3
PAÇ
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 2
LEX
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPB
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
4 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |