Leixões vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 1
LEX
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
VIT
2 - 0
LEX
72%
17%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
LEX
4 - 1
BMA
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 0
LEX
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
LEX
1 - 1
VST
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
BMA
2 - 4
VAR
47%
24%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
BEL
51%
24%
24%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
VST
1 - 0
VAR
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
SLB
19%
19%
62%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |