Leixões vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
FCP
3 - 1
LEX
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 1
SLB
15%
19%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
BEL
3 - 2
LEX
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPB
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
CEL
3 - 0
LEX
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
VAR
3 - 1
SCP
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
LGC
0 - 1
VAR
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SEI
1 - 2
VAR
58%
21%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAB
50%
21%
29%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |