Leixões vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LEX
2 - 1
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 1
LEX
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LEX
0 - 1
ATL
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
LEX
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LEX
1 - 0
SPC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMA
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
CER
80%
14%
7%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
SAN
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |