Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
Leixões vs Progresul Bucureşti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
LEX
3 - 2
BMA
56%
20%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
VIT
3 - 2
LEX
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
LEX
2 - 1
FAB
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ATL
4 - 1
LEX
55%
22%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LEX
0 - 0
FCP
30%
24%
47%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Progresul Bucureşti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 4
DBU
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 0
ARG
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
UCL
1 - 0
PRO
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 2
UTA
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 2
RAP
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |