Leixões vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
POR
1 - 2
LEX
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
LEX
2 - 2
FEI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NAV
5 - 0
LEX
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LEX
1 - 1
SPC
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LEX
0 - 2
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 1
UNM
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 1
PEN
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 0
VAR
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |