Prev. Taça da Liga Final
Global 2-3
Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LEX
1 - 1
OLI
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
GFC
0 - 0
LEX
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LEX
1 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 1
LEX
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
LEX
1 - 2
SCP
17%
25%
59%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 2
PAÇ
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
VST
1 - 0
PAÇ
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
SPB
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
POR
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |