Leixões vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SAL
3 - 1
LEX
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LEX
0 - 0
FEL
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
EST
3 - 0
LEX
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
LEX
3 - 1
AVE
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 1
LEX
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAV
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
NAV
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
NAV
3 - 0
FEI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |