Leixões vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 4
LEX
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
SAL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FEL
1 - 0
LEX
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LEX
0 - 3
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 1
LEX
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 2
UNM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAV
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 2
NAV
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |