Leixões vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
LEX
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LEX
2 - 3
OLI
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
LEX
87%
10%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 0
LEX
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
GFC
0 - 0
LEX
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
GFC
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
GFC
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |