Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 4-22
Leixões vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
LEX
4 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
LEX
1 - 2
APO
68%
16%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
LEX
1 - 1
VST
54%
20%
25%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ACA
3 - 1
LEX
82%
11%
7%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
LEX
1 - 3
BEL
25%
21%
54%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
59%
18%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
FCP
3 - 2
BEL
83%
10%
7%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
FCP
6 - 0
CAR
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
FCP
5 - 1
FCB
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 3
FCP
68%
15%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |