Leixões vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
63.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
FAR
2 - 1
LEX
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
LEX
0 - 1
UFT
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 1
LEX
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCP
25%
29%
47%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CDM
1 - 0
LEX
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
2 - 2
OLH
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
VAN
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 43 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 4
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
BEL
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |