Leixões vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 0
LEX
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LEX
2 - 1
GFC
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 2
LEX
23%
26%
50%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACV
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LEX
1 - 1
MAF
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 0
ARO
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 2
BEL
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 0
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 3
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |