Leixões vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 3
LEX
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
LEX
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
LEX
2 - 2
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
FEI
1 - 3
LEX
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 1
FCM
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 1
ALV
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ALV
2 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 0
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |