Leixões vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
BEL
3 - 0
LEX
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
LEX
0 - 1
VST
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEX
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
LEX
0 - 1
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
LEX
0 - 1
VIT
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
BMA
1 - 5
ACA
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
ACA
2 - 2
VAR
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |