Leixões vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
OLH
4 - 1
LEX
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
LEX
2 - 4
BEL
8%
13%
79%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
UNI
8 - 2
LEX
87%
8%
5%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
96%
3%
1%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
FAB
6 - 0
LEX
77%
13%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
FAB
4 - 2
ACA
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
SLB
6 - 2
ACA
79%
12%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
80%
11%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
OLH
5 - 2
ACA
45%
21%
33%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACA
4 - 0
VIT
66%
16%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |