Leiston vs VCD Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
3 - 1
STA
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LEA
3 - 2
LEI
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
1 - 1
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
LEI
3 - 0
NEE
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HEN
2 - 4
LEI
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
VCD Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VCD
3 - 2
ENF
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
NEE
0 - 3
VCD
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BOG
2 - 0
VCD
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VCD
0 - 1
LEA
27%
24%
50%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
VCD
1 - 3
EAS
15%
19%
66%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |