Leiston vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 1
LEI
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
0 - 1
STA
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 2
DUL
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 0
LEI
23%
23%
55%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
HAV
3 - 0
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MER
1 - 0
HAR
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ENF
2 - 3
MER
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
YEL
0 - 4
MER
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
2 - 1
MER
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |