Leiston vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LEI
0 - 8
BRO
13%
16%
72%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
TAM
4 - 0
LEI
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
KIN
1 - 2
LEI
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LEI
3 - 1
HIT
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +3 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LEI
4 - 4
STI
25%
24%
51%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SUT
1 - 5
HED
21%
21%
57%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 4
HED
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
STR
1 - 2
HED
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
HED
4 - 0
RED
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HED
0 - 1
BOS
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |