Leiston vs Alvechurch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LEI
2 - 1
TAM
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HED
1 - 3
LEI
32%
22%
47%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LEI
2 - 1
WRO
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
LEI
5 - 1
RUS
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 1
STO
51%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HIT
2 - 1
ALV
16%
24%
60%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
ALV
75%
17%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NUN
1 - 2
ALV
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BED
0 - 3
ALV
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KIN
1 - 1
ALV
25%
24%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |