Leiston vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
4 - 0
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
TON
2 - 2
LEI
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 4
LEI
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
4 - 4
KIN
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
4 - 1
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 3
YEL
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 3
BIL
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EBB
5 - 0
YEL
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
YEL
0 - 1
TON
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
YEL
6 - 0
HAL
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |