Leiria e Marrazes U15 vs Benfica Castelo Branco Sub analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
51.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
9º
8º
5
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiria e Marrazes U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GFN
2 - 1
LEM
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 2
LEM
64%
19%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LEM
3 - 3
CDV
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
LEM
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LEM
1 - 3
CAD
12%
16%
71%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco Sub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TON
4 - 0
BEN
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
ACA
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +4 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
BEN
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 1
MRV
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |