Leioa vs San Viator analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
7º
3º
1
10º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 65 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 63 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 59 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 59 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 56 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 38 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 36 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
LEI
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESC
2 - 2
LEI
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
2 - 3
LAR
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 3
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEA
3 - 1
LEI
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
San Viator
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
ATX
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
CSV
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSV
4 - 1
CDF
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AMU
0 - 3
CSV
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CSV
4 - 2
CDS
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |