Leioa vs CD Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
0 - 0
GER
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
UDS
4 - 0
LEI
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 0
UDS
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 1
DEU
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 2
LEI
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
CDD
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
DSJ
0 - 2
CDD
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 0
CDG
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SOD
0 - 2
CDD
27%
24%
50%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
SDE
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |