Leioa vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 1
LEI
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEI
0 - 1
UDS
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CDT
3 - 0
LEI
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
MAJ
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FUE
1 - 0
LEI
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ATH
2 - 1
GER
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SDA
2 - 1
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 2
RUN
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATH
40%
27%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |