Leicester U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 3
BLA
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 4
EVE
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 2
MUN
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
52%
22%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
5 - 2
LEI
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
DER
1 - 3
EVE
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
DER
0 - 4
MCI
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
DER
3 - 5
BLA
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
BHA
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |