Leicester U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SUN
4 - 1
LEI
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
SWA
3 - 1
LEI
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
LEI
4 - 0
LIV
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
LEI
3 - 1
ARS
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
LEI
41%
25%
33%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
WHU
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TOT
4 - 2
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
DER
0 - 3
CHE
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
DER
0 - 4
MCI
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 3
DER
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |