Leicester Nirvana vs Newport Pagnell Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester Nirvana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
GOD
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
LEI
0 - 1
LUT
49%
22%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LEI
5 - 1
HIS
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 0
OAD
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RBF
4 - 1
LEI
35%
22%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Newport Pagnell Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
YAX
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
COG
1 - 0
NEW
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RCW
1 - 1
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
STN
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RBF
2 - 4
NEW
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |