Leicester vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 Apr. 2017 |
WBA
0 - 1
LEI
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
26 Apr. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 0
LEI
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
18 Apr. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 1
ATM
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
15 Apr. 2017 |
CRY
2 - 2
LEI
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
12 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
LEI
74%
18%
9%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
01 May. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 1
LIV
21%
24%
56%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
22 Apr. 2017 |
HUL
2 - 0
WAT
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
15 Apr. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 0
SWA
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
08 Apr. 2017 |
TOT
4 - 0
WAT
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
04 Apr. 2017 |
WAT
2 - 0
WBA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |