Leicester vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
LEI
2 - 2
LIV
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
LEE
8 - 2
LEI
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
LEI
0 - 0
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
CHA
1 - 0
LEI
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1938 |
LEI
2 - 1
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
OPA
2 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 3
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 2
BPO
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
HUR
0 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |