Leicester vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
PLY
1 - 0
LEI
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
LEI
1 - 2
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
SHW
2 - 1
LEI
32%
27%
40%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
LEI
3 - 2
TOT
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
CRY
2 - 0
LEI
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
SOU
0 - 0
CRY
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SOU
0 - 2
IPS
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 0
SOU
25%
27%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
SOU
4 - 3
MKD
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
SOU
2 - 1
BHA
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |