Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 3-2
Leicester vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LEI
3 - 1
HUL
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
3 - 1
LIV
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 1
LEI
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
LEI
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SWA
2 - 0
LEI
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SEV
1 - 1
LEG
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 1
SEV
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATH
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BET
1 - 2
SEV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 1
LEI
72%
17%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |