Leicester vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
BRA
4 - 1
LEI
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
NOT
2 - 3
LEI
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
LEI
2 - 4
BBU
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
4 - 2
ASV
30%
23%
47%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
4 - 3
SUN
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 2
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
NOT
2 - 3
LEI
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 0
SUN
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 2
BCF
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |