Leicester vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
43.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
TOT
1 - 2
LEI
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
SUN
1 - 0
LEI
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
LEI
1 - 0
MUD
25%
28%
48%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
LIV
1 - 2
LEI
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
LEI
0 - 1
LEE
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
NTT
3 - 1
ARS
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1981 |
STO
1 - 2
NTT
38%
29%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1981 |
NTT
3 - 3
IPS
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
NTT
2 - 1
BRI
80%
15%
5%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 0
NTT
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |