Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
LEI
0 - 2
LIV
25%
26%
48%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
MUD
4 - 0
LEI
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1986 |
LEI
1 - 4
QPR
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
SOU
0 - 0
LEI
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
IPS
0 - 2
LEI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
NEW
3 - 1
MAC
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1986 |
WHU
8 - 1
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
NEW
2 - 4
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
NEW
4 - 1
BIR
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |