Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
LEI
0 - 2
CHL
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
DER
4 - 1
LEI
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
LEI
1 - 4
BIR
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
3 - 2
LEI
79%
14%
6%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
LEI
0 - 1
WBA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
NEW
2 - 2
NOR
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
NEW
0 - 3
QPR
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1978 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
WBA
2 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |