Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
LEI
3 - 0
WHU
44%
28%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
LEE
2 - 2
LEI
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
IPS
2 - 1
LEI
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
LEI
3 - 2
WOL
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
LEI
1 - 1
LIV
33%
31%
36%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
NEW
2 - 2
QPR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
LEE
1 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1975 |
LIV
4 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
NEW
0 - 2
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1975 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |