Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
NOR
1 - 0
LEI
42%
29%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
LEI
0 - 1
SOU
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
DER
2 - 1
LEI
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
LEI
2 - 2
LEE
20%
29%
52%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEI
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 1
STO
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
TOT
0 - 2
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHL
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |