Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1968 |
BUR
2 - 1
LEI
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1968 |
LEI
1 - 4
CHL
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1968 |
WBA
1 - 1
LEI
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1968 |
LEI
2 - 1
MUD
32%
25%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
EVE
7 - 1
LEI
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1969 |
ZAR
3 - 2
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1968 |
LEE
2 - 1
NEW
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1968 |
QPR
1 - 1
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1968 |
NEW
2 - 1
IPS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1968 |
STO
1 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |