Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1967 |
WBA
0 - 0
LEI
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1967 |
LEI
2 - 2
CHL
57%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
SOU
1 - 5
LEI
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
LEI
2 - 1
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
LEI
0 - 2
EVE
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1967 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1967 |
LEE
2 - 0
NEW
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
FUL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
WOL
2 - 2
NEW
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |