Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
TOT
2 - 3
LEI
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
LEI
6 - 0
MUD
43%
21%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
BBU
1 - 1
LEI
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
LEI
4 - 1
EVE
50%
21%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
LEI
2 - 0
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
NEW
3 - 3
ARS
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 3
NEW
52%
20%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
NEW
2 - 2
NTT
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
BUR
5 - 3
NEW
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
BIR
2 - 1
NEW
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |